Scalability of digital psychological innovations for refugees: A comparative analysis in Egypt, Germany, and Sweden

E-mental health interventions may offer innovative means to increase access to psychological support and improve the mental health of refugees. However, there is limited knowledge about how these innovations can be scaled up and integrated sustainably into routine services. This study examined the scalability of a digital psychological intervention called Step-by-Step (SbS) for refugees in Egypt, Germany, and Sweden. We conducted semi-structured interviews (n = 88) with Syrian refugees, and experts in SbS or mental health among refugees in the three countries. Data collection and analysis were guided by a system innovation perspective. Interviewees identified three contextual factors that influenced scalability of SbS in each country: increasing use of e-health, the COVID-19 pandemic, and political instability. Nine factors lay at the interface between the innovation and potential delivery systems, and these were categorised by culture (ways of thinking), structure (ways of organising), and practice (ways of doing). Factors related to culture included: perceived need and acceptability of the innovation. Acceptability was influenced by mental health stigma and awareness, digital trust, perceived novelty of self-help interventions, and attitudes towards non-specialist (e-helper) support. Factors related to structure included financing, regulations, accessibility, competencies of e-helpers, and quality control. Factors related to practice were barriers in the initial and continued engagement of end-users. Many actors with a potential stake in the integration of SbS across the three countries were identified, with nineteen stakeholders deemed most powerful. Several context-specific integration scenarios were developed, which need to be tested. We conclude that integrating novel e-mental health interventions for refugees into routine services will be a complex task due to the many interrelated factors and actors involved. Multi-stakeholder collaboration, including the involvement of end-users, will be essential.

Predictors of non-invasive ventilation failure in adult patients with cardiac dysfunction presenting with community-acquired pneumonia: an Egyptian multicenter prospective study

Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) might be successful if carefully selected in adult patients with cardiac dysfunction presenting with community-acquired pneumonia. The main objective of this study was to identify the early predictors of NIV failure. Adult patients with left ventricle ejection fraction (LV EF) <50% admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with community-acquired pneumonia and acute respiratory failure were enrolled in this multicenter prospective study after obtaining informed consents (study registrationID: ISRCTN14641518). Non-invasive ventilation failure was defined as the requirement of intubation after initiation of NIV. All patients were assessed using the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores at admission, while their Heart rate Acidosis Consciousness Oxygenation and Respiratory rate (HACOR) and lung ultrasound (LUS) scores in addition to blood lactate were assessed at NIV initiation and 12 and 24 hours later. A total of 177 patients were prospectively enrolled from February 2019 to July 2020. Of them, 53 (29.9%) had failed NIV. The mean age of the study cohort was 64.1+or- 12.6 years, with a male predominance (73.4%) and a mean LV EF of 36.4 +or- 7.8%. Almost 55.9% of the studied patients had diabetes mellitus, 45.8% had chronic systemic hypertension, 73.4% had ischemic heart disease, 20.3% had chronic kidney disease, and 9.6% had liver cirrhosis. No significant differences were observed between the NIV success and NIV failure groups regarding underlying morbidities or inflammatory markers. Patients who failed NIV were significantly older and had higher mean SOFA and APACHE II scores than those with successful NIV. We also found that NIV failure was associated with longer ICU stay (p < 0.001), higher SOFA scores at 48 hours (p < 0.001) and higher mortality (p < 0.001) compared with the NIV success group. In addition, SOFA (Odds Ratio (OR): 4.52, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 2.59-7.88, p < 0.001), HACOR (OR: 2.01, 95% CI: 0.97-4.18, p = 0.036) and LUS (OR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.014-1.106, p = 0.027) scores and blood lactate levels (OR: 9.35, 95% CI: 5.32-43.26, p < 0.001) were independent factors for NIV failure. High initial HACOR and SOFA scores, persistent hyperlactatemia and non-decrementing LUS score were associated with early NIV failure in patients with cardiac dysfunction presenting with community-acquired pneumonia, and could be used as clinical and paraclinical variables for early decision making regarding invasive ventilation.

A COVID-19 Infection Prediction Model in Egypt Based on Deep Learning Using Population Mobility Reports

The rapidly spreading COVID-19 disease had already infected more than 190 countries. As a result of this scenario, nations everywhere monitored confirmed cases of infection, cures, and fatalities and made predictions about what the future would hold. In the event of a pandemic, governments had set limit rules for the spread of the virus and save lives. Multiple computer methods existed for forecasting epidemic time series. Deep learning was one of the most promising methods for time-series prediction. In this research, we propose a model for predicting the spread of COVID-19 in Egypt based on deep learning sequence-to-sequence regression, which makes use of data on the population mobility reports. The presented model utilized a new combined dataset from two different sources. The first source is Google population mobility reports, and the second source is the number of infected cases reported daily "world in data” website. The suggested model could predict new cases of COVID-19 infection within 3–7 days with the least amount of prediction error. The proposed model achieved 96.69% accuracy for 3 days of prediction. This study is noteworthy since it is one of the first trials to estimate the daily influx of new COVID-19 infections using population mobility data instead of daily infection rates. © 2023, The Author(s).

Middle East and North African Health Informatics Association (MENAHIA)

The region of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) is diverse and retains a superior growth potential. It benefits from a privileged geographical location with big markets, a young and growing educated population, and competitive advantages in several industries. Regardless of their differences, countries face shared concerns, most notably in health. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, MENA countries enact reforms to create a more robust and inclusive digital health systems to increase growth, development, and integrity. Throughout the coordinated containment and mitigation efforts, most of the countries have integrated digital technologies into the health systems. These procedures include digital government initiatives, the introduction of digital health training courses, live video surgeries and virtual patient monitoring, rural and remote telemedicine programs, and the development of a national electronic health records (EHR) system. Each country took necessary actions to address equity, literacy, and development of resilient health systems. The nine featured countries in this report illustrate the diversity among the MENA region and account for major opportunities and achievements as well as promises and challenges that digital health presents for its populations. © 2022 IMIA and Georg Thieme Verlag KG.

Clinical and laboratory predictors of disease severity and outcome in COVID 19 infected patients in Suez Canal University Hospital, single center study from Egypt

Background: The novel corona virus is a high contagious disease, declared by World Health Organization (WHO) as a global pandemic in 2020 with profound impact on morbidity and mortality, assessment of outcomes in infected patients and knowledge of prediction of mortality and morbidity are important. We aimed to assess the clinical and laboratory findings in predicting COVID-19 severity and outcome in patients admitted to Suez Canal University Teaching Hospital. Methodology: This cross-sectional prospective study included 500 confirmed PCR COVID-19 infected patients, selected through random sampling. A structured checklist was used to collect patient data. Results: Mean age was 61.8 years, 56.2% were males, 74.8% had comorbidities. Lung involvement was evident in more than 75% on CT, 17.2% had leukopenia, 42.2% had lymphocytopenia between 5 – 10% and 93% of the patients had elevated neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio. 65.8% had elevated D-dimer, and elevated liver and kidney functions were found in 40.6% and 25% respectively. The mortality rate in studied population was 30.2% and it was significantly associated with old age, hypoxemia, having high involvement of the lungs on CT. Decreased WBC count, high D-dimer level and high NLR associated with severity and increased death rate of the disease. Conclusion: The study revealed many findings with impact on the patient's severity and outcome old age, laboratory findings, CT imaging and need to antiviral therapy the most predicting factors of the severity and prognosis of the patient. © 2020 The author (s). Published by Zagazig University.

A relational model of university's identity and architectural design pre- and post-pandemic

PurposeThe present research aims to explore the relationship between the university's new identity and its architectural design, and to investigate the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on this model. It also aims to analyze the declared identity of the new Egyptian universities.Design/methodology/approachTo formulate the hypothesis of the relational model, the research started with the literature related to physical and nonphysical variables of university's identity (organizational and visual identity) and the impact of the pandemic on its identity. Secondly, an online questionnaire targeting academic leaders was conducted to identify the relative importance of the selected variables of university's identity pre- and post-pandemic. Thirdly, a content analysis of the new Egyptian universities' identity was used to track the correlation between the selected variables based on information accessible on universities' websites. Finally, the results of the content analysis and the questionnaire were compared to test the hypothesis.FindingsThe study reveals the most important physical variable of university's new identity pre- and post-pandemic is technological infrastructure and flexible design, while the least important is university's unique design. The results highlight that the universities need to revisit the declared identity to reflect the new challenges posed by COVID-19.Originality/valueThis study is considered one of the first researches that links the physical and nonphysical variables of university's new identity. The current study contributes to analyzing the impact of COVID-19 on university identity and architecture.

Assessment of compliance and relapse in patients with schizophrenia before and after the onset of COVID-19 pandemic.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess the frequency and correlates of relapse among patients with schizophrenia during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: This retrospective study included 90 adults who met DSM-IV criteria for schizophrenia. The participants were evaluated using Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS), Compliance Rating Scale (CRS) and World Health Organisation Disability Assessment Schedule 2.0 (WHODAS 2.0) before and after the onset of COVID-19 pandemic. RESULTS: The mean score of CRS was decreased after the onset of COVID-19 pandemic compared to before COVID 19 ( p < 0.001). The mean total score of PANSS scale and the mean positive subscale (P) score had increased after the onset of COVID-19 pandemic compared to before COVID 19 ( p < 0.001). Following up the news about COVID-19 regularly and decreased level of family support after the pandemic onset were associated with lower CRS scores and higher PANSS scores. In addition, the presence of infection or death with COVID-19 among family members and lower CRS scores were associated with higher scores on PANSS positive subscale. CONCLUSIONS: The relapse rate had increased among patients with schizophrenia during COVID-19 pandemic. Non-compliance with medications and lack of family support were the main correlates of relapse in schizophrenia.Key PointsPatients with schizophrenia are at high risk for relapse during Covid-19 pandemic.Non-compliance with medications, lack of family support, COVID-19-related illness or death of family members and following the news of the pandemic are correlates of relapse in patients with schizophrenia.Psychoeducation, availability of medications and mental health services and family support may help to prevent relapse in patients with schizophrenia during pandemics.Prospective studies are needed to confirm the findings of this study.

Hotel employees' knowledge of monkeypox's source, symptoms, transmission, prevention, and treatment in Egypt.

BACKGROUND: The re-emerging human monkeypox virus (MPXV) poses a global threat. The rising number of confirmed MPXV cases worldwide is a significant reason for concern. This study aims to investigate (1) hotel employees' knowledge in Egypt of MPXV source, signs/symptoms, transmission, prevention, and treatment, (2) the primary sources of their information about MPXV, (3) whether or not they received information about MPXV from their hotels, and (4) the differences of employees' knowledge in terms of gender, age, marital status, level of education, type of contract, professional category, hotel department, type of hotel, seniority in the hotel, and the number of hotel rooms. METHODS: Using a quantitative approach, we collected data from 453 employees in Egyptian hotels via a web-based questionnaire. The survey included questions regarding the MPXV source, signs/symptoms, transmission, prevention, and treatment, as well as its primary information sources. The questionnaire also included questions regarding participants' demographics and hotel characteristics. RESULTS: The findings indicated that more than half of hotel employees have inadequate knowledge of MPXV. Additionally, the majority of employees selected social media as their primary source of MPXV-related information. Surprisingly, most participants reported that their hotels neglected to provide them with the MPXV's information. Age, marital status, education, professional category, and tenure in the hotel all have a significant impact on their MPXV knowledge level. CONCLUSION: The current paper presents significant implications for both theory and practice. This study provides government agencies and hotels with guidelines for preventing the outbreak of MPXV. According to our knowledge, this is the first study conducted with hotel employees in the MPXV Egyptian context.

Changes in dietary habits during Covid-19 lockdown in Egypt: the Egyptian COVIDiet study.

PURPOSE: COVID-19 lockdown changed social habits and lifestyle, including dietary habits, of people worldwide. However, limited information is available about these changes in Egypt. This cross-sectional study investigates the effects of COVID-19 lockdown on dietary habits among the Egyptian populations. METHODS: An online questionnaire, based on sociodemographic data and dietary adherence in accordance with the validated PREDIMED MedDiet Adherence Screener (MEDAS), was used all over the Egyptian governorates. The dietary changes were statistically evaluated for significance in relation to age, gender, body mass index (BMI), education level and governorates. RESULTS: A total of 1010 participants (76% aged below 36 years, 77% female, 22% obese, and 62% university-level education) answered the questionnaire. Respondents ≤ 20 years had a significant increase in weight and consumption of carbonated beverages, commercial pastries, fried and fast food. Egyptians > 50 years old had a significant decrease in physical activity. Underweight people (less than 3% of participants) increased their fast food intake with a prominent rise in weight. However, obese people increased cooking frequency and increased eating times with a decrease in physical activity. Male participants reported increased intake of carbonated beverages and fast food, while female participants increased the intake of homemade pastries with a significant decrease in physical activity. Approximately 50% of participants with postgraduate education reported decreased intake of fast food and carbonated beverages as well as decreased body weight. Residents of Cairo showed a significant increase in vegetable intake, and fried food intake with a decrease in seafood consumption. Participants from the Delta region had a significant increase in pastries intake. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study explored the need for increasing awareness about healthy lifestyle in future lockdown periods.

Spatio-temporal patterns and trends of the air pollution integrating MERRA-2 and in situ air quality data over Egypt (2013-2021).

For best-informed decision-making to improve climate change adaptation and reduce present and future air pollution health hazards, it is essential to identify major trends in spatiotemporal air quality patterns of common air contaminants. This study examined the patterns and trends of SO2, NO2, CO, O3, and particulate matter (PM) air pollutants over 91 monitoring stations in Egypt during 93 months in the August (2013)-April (2021) period. In situ data with their monthly, seasonal, and yearly spatial trends are defined and used to validate the counterpart satellite reanalysis MERRA-2 data. The Mann-Kendall test characterized the seasonal monotonic trends and their Sen's slope, and annual change rate for both data series. Regression analysis of MERRA-2 against in situ concentrations of SO2 and PM10 revealed underestimation with RMSE values of 13.38 g m-3 and 69.46 g m-3, respectively. Local plumes with variable magnitudes characterized distinct industrial places clarified by patterns of in situ pollutants. As a result of the COVID-19 lockdown, the in situ air pollutants showed a considerable regional decline in the yearly average in 2020 compared to the years before. The in situ air pollutants showed annual trends far more significant than those seen in the MERRA-2 data. The shortcomings of the few and spatiotemporal discontinuities of the in situ contaminants are addressed by MERRA-2 air quality products. The in situ data made trends and magnitudes clear that were hidden in their MERRA-2 counterparts. The results clarified air pollution patterns, trends, and spatial variability over Egypt that are essential for climate risk management and for reducing environmental/health concerns. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11869-023-01357-6.

Redefining Distance Learning for the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Lessons Learnt from Egyptian Educators

This chapter presents a suggested disruptive approach to innovatively bridge the hurdle imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic in Egypt, given the reality of distance learning in mathematics education. The focus is two-fold. Firstly, it addresses educators' community ownership questions, leading their post-COVID world in the virtual schooling sector. Secondly, it discusses questions of educators' community autonomy in exercising this leadership. As major stakeholders, community members are best equipped to assess their contextual reality and respond in culturally sensitive ways to the unfolding educational challenges. In light of the community engagement framework, the chapter argues for a need to envision the fourth industrial revolution more widely by defining and using technology as a teaching and learning tool for mathematics education. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2022.

Applications of the One Health concept: Current status in the Middle East

Background: The One Health concept (OHC) seeks to improve the health of plants, animals, and humans because improving animal and plant health will increase the capacity for improving human health. Many risks such as plant and animal biotechnology applications have the potential to generate new diseases that can be transmitted to humans. In this way, the health of humans, animals, and plants is interrelated and depends on one another. However, it has been difficult to apply the OHC in some countries, such as those in the Middle East. The absence of financial support in the region is a major hindrance to applying this concept in the region. The application of the OHC requires the support of specialists who can advocate the government for support in launching OHC-related projects. Here, we discuss the OHC in the context of antimicrobial resistance, zoonotic diseases, and biosafety/biosecurity, which are important public health issues. Furthermore, we describe the current status of the OHC in the Middle East and recent research conducted related to this concept. There has been recent international solidarity in the application of the OHC to reduce risks that threaten the health of organisms. Several countries jointly launched the Global Health Security Agenda in 2014 with the aim of realizing a world that is free of infectious disease-related health risks. However, no previous review articles have examined the applications of the OHC in the Middle East region. This article discusses the OHC in terms of its needs and current applications in the Middle East. Methodology: The following keywords were used in the search: "One Health," "Middle East," "medicinal plants," "viruses," "rabies," "MERS," and "antimicrobial resistance." Related papers were obtained by searching for these keywords using available search engines, such as PubMed, Google Scholar, and Google search, as well as international organization websites. Conclusion(s): The concept of One Health is relatively new and has not been applied in most countries, possibly because the value of this concept for improving human health is not well understood. The key principle defining this concept and its importance is the interdependency of plants, animals, and human health. By applying the OHC, humans can benefit from healthy plants and animals by enhancing their growing conditions, medications, and environments. This would in turn improve general human health by allowing the safe extraction of therapeutics and food resources.Copyright © 2023

Islamic Bank Merger and Economic Crisis: Event Study Analysis: Acces la Success

This event study examines the stock price reaction to the merger announcement of three major Islamic banks in Indonesia, namely BNIS, BRIS, and BSM to become Indonesia Islamic Bank (ticker code BRIS). This study analyzes whether there is an abnormal return around the merger announcement on 14 days window period. Using a daily stock price of BRIS, market index, and trading volume we calculated abnormal return and risk using market model Sharpe 's single index model. Analysis of the 14 days window period found that there is an insignificant abnormal return before and after the Islamic banking merger and Indonesia Stock Exchange has been categorized as weak-form efficiency. The results of statistical tests reveal that stock returns and trading volume react positively after the merger announcement and are significant at 5% alpha.

The Role of Political Connections in COVID Policy Response: Effectiveness of Firm-Level Government Support in Egypt

The COVID-19 pandemic saw two sets of policy responses: lockdown to limit spread of the virus, which was a huge demand and supply shock, and government support to firms and individuals to offset the effects of this policy-induced shock. This paper explores the allocation and effectiveness of government support to firms in Egypt. We consider both financial support measures which were by and large already being implemented pre-COVID, as well as tax- and loan-related exemptions and deferments. After controlling for the endogeneity of government support, our main findings show that the latter has helped mitigate the effects of COVID-19, with a significantly larger, favorable impact on smaller, younger and private firms. There is no equity-effectiveness trade-off. However, although these firms apparently make better use of government support, they receive a disproportionately smaller share of it. In line with the emerging ‘unsocial' social contract, government support has been chiefly determined by political connections and a captured industrial policy. This ‘misallocation' reinforces the ‘missing middle' phenomenon which acts as a constraint as SMEs are unable to grow. Nevertheless, the crisis has presented a chance for the pattern of support to slowly shift towards the more vulnerable through the more frequent use of ‘exemptions and deferments'. © 2023 German Institute of Development and Sustainability.

Knowledge about COVID-19 and its Precautionary Measures among Healthcare Workers at the National Cancer Institute, Cairo University

BACKGROUND: The core of the healthcare system is healthcare workers (HCWs). A skilled and healthy workforce is essential during a health emergency like the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic. AIM: This study evaluated knowledge of COVID-19, its preventive measures, and factors affecting it among HCWs at the National Cancer Institute (NCI), Cairo University to determine their desire to obtain the available COVID-19 vaccines in addition to the factors that may affect it. METHOD(S): This descriptive cross-sectional study included 151 HCWs in Egypt using a self-administered questionnaire created by the researchers after examining the information supplied by the Egyptian Ministry of Health and Population, World Health Organization, and the relevant research regarding knowledge assessment. Initially, demographic data were collected. Participants were asked their source of knowledge about COVID-19 and their intent to receive the available vaccines. Knowledge about COVID-19 and preventive measures was compared between different HCWs in NCI. In addition, knowledge score was compared according to different factors to determine factors affecting knowledge. RESULT(S): Physicians represented about 40% of the total number of participants. HCWs' knowledge of COVID-19 was higher among physicians, with a higher percentage of correct answers than the other two groups (nurses and pharmacists and employees and technicians). Younger age groups had a significantly higher median knowledge score than the older groups. Physicians had significantly higher median scores than employee and technician groups. CONCLUSION(S): The overall knowledge about COVID-19 and its preventive measures among HCWs was generally good, especially among physicians more than allied health professionals. However, some of the virus-related knowledge was less advanced than expected for the HCWs position.Copyright © 2023 Nora Atef, Mohamed Bendary, Amira Khater.

Improving complementary feeding practices through a comprehensive health systems strengthening approach: experiences from Egypt. (Special section on complementary feeding in emergencies.)

This article describes experiences of improving complementary feeding practices using a systems approach with particular focus on health systems strengthening. Achievements included: the development of national guidelines for optimum complementary feeding for children 6-23 months of age, inclusion of a specific indicator for complementary feeding in the new National Food and Nutrition Strategy, updated training packages to improve health worker counselling skills and strengthened social behaviour change communication activities. A systems approach requires strong coordination between all partners across sectors to ensure communities benefit from the synergistic effects of complementary interventions, while system strengthening was noted to improve the resilience of the Ministry of Health and Population to withstand the shocks of the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent Ukraine crisis.

The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the elimination program of viral hepatitis in Egypt

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS CoV-2) infection and associated (COVID-19) pandemic disrupted the healthcare systems of most countries because of the overwhelming demand for COVID-19 care and the ensuing diversion of resources and public attention to this purpose. The WHO goals for HBV and HCV elimination are thus facing major hurdles regarding both screening and treatment, and are at risk of failure. Because of the pandemic, hospital liver care departments have reallocated health professionals and reduced or suspended outpatient care. Hepatitis elimination programs and interventions (screening, diagnosis, and treatment) have been reduced or halted altogether. The Egyptian Liver Research Institute and Hospital (ELRIAH) reported a reduction during 2020 vs. 2019 of 57.0% for HCV consultations and 87.2% for new referrals. In addition, Requests for HCV RNA testing were greatly affected, with 60.7% reduction in HCV RNA test requests between 2019 and 2020 with a drop of 86.9% in the number of HCV RNA-positive patients detected. In terms of HCV treatment rates;86.2% fewer patients with HCV started on antiviral treatment during the pandemic period compared to the year before. Regarding HBV, the reduction between 2019 and 2020 was 43.7% for consultations and 7.3% for new referrals. As a consequence, the number of HBsAg-positive individuals observed in ELRIAH decreased by 8.7%. Also, the requests for HBV testing were found to be highly affected. Consequently, the number of patients with detectable HBV DNA dropped by 8.3% and HBV treatment rates also decreased. In conclusion, the COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on every step of the viral hepatitis cascade of care. Furthermore, HCC surveillance programmes are mostly halted.

"Medical student syndrome”: a real disease or just a myth?—a cross-sectional study at Menoufia University, Egypt

BackgroundA widely held belief is that "Medical student syndrome” is frequently experienced by young medical students, that is, they experience the symptoms of the diseases they are studying or fear of having such illness. A hypothesis is that because medical students constantly learn about life-threatening conditions and diseases, they experience persistent fear and stress regarding having a severe medical condition, an anxiety-related illness called nosophobia.ResultsAlthough medical students scored an average of 14.14 on a scale measuring potential nosophobia a, the difference between their scores and those of non-medical students, who scored an average of 0.11, is significantly higher (p 0.001). According to the presented analysis, non-medical and medical students exhibit distinct levels of nosophobia. The analysis of responses to hypochondriacal behaviors revealed that students from non-medical faculties scored an average of 1.43 points. By contrast, the average score for medical students was 7.87, which is significantly higher than that of the non-medical students (p 0.001).ConclusionsMedical students are at higher risk for health anxiety and hypochondrial attitudes than non-medical students are.

Forecasting COVID-19 cases in Egypt using ARIMA-based time-series analysis

Objectives: The World Health Organization declared the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak a public health emer-gency of international concern on January 30, 2020. Since it was first identified, COVID-19 has infected more than one hundred million people worldwide, with more than two million fatalities. This study focuses on the interpretation of the distribution of COVID-19 in Egypt to develop an effective forecasting model that can be used as a decision-making mechanism to administer health interventions and mitigate the transmission of COVID-19. Method(s): A model was developed using the data collected by the Egyptian Ministry of Health and used it to predict possible COVID-19 cases in Egypt. Result(s): Statistics obtained based on time-series and kinetic model analyses suggest that the total number of CO-VID-19 cases in mainland Egypt could reach 11076 per week (March 1, 2020 through January 24, 2021) and the number of simple regenerations could reach 12. Analysis of the ARIMA (2, 1, 2) and (2, 1, 3) sequences shows a rise in the number of COVID-19 events. Conclusion(s): The developed forecasting model can help the government and medical personnel plan for the imminent conditions and ensure that healthcare systems are prepared to deal with them.Copyright © 2021 by Eurasian Journal of Medicine and Oncology.

Continuing working from home in the academic context: what do female academics prefer?

Through addressing female academics in three public universities in Egypt, we aim to find out the extent to which female academics prefer to continue working from home (WFH) as a means of fulfilling their job responsibilities and the determinants for accepting or rejecting that option. A qualitative research method through semi-structured interviews with 33 female academics from three public universities selected from among 26 public institutions of higher education in Egypt. Moreover, our findings show that the preference to continue working from home varies across the addressed female academics, as they all differ in terms of workload, psychological well-being and the level of authority, control, and autonomy they have over their job. Furthermore, we identified familial commitments, availability of the information and infrastructure needed for work, cohesiveness when adopting WFH, and the extreme level of work from home as the four main determinants shaping the preferences of female academics in regard to working from home. © 2023 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.